Economics

Education

• Ph.D., Economics, University of California Irvine, 2014
• MS, Industrial Engineering, Youngstown State University, 2002
• MS, Economics, Florida State University, 2000
• BA, Economics, Youngstown State University, 1999

Interests and Expertise

Dr. Elias's research and teaching interests are in the fields of:

• Macroeconomics
• Monetary economics
• Financial economics
• Time series econometrics

Courses

• Principles of macroeconomics
• Money and banking
• Intermediate macroeconomic analysis
• Time series econometrics
• International macroeconomics
• International macroeconomics (graduate)
• Macroeconomic analysis (graduate)

Publications and Presentations

• "Bayesian Forecasting of U.S. Recessions Using New Keynesian Models with Heterogeneous Expectations", Applied Economics Letters, 2022, doi: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2041173
• "Adaptive Learning with Heterogeneous Expectations in an Estimated Medium-Scale New Keynesian Model", Journal of Macroeconomics, March 2022, doi:10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103379
• "Bayesian Estimation of a Small-Scale New Keynesian Model with Heterogeneous Expectations", Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2020, pp. 1-25. doi: 10.1017/S1365100520000401
• "A Heterogeneous Agent Exchange Rate Model with Speculators and Non-Speculators", Journal of Macroeconomics, Volume 49, September 2016, pp. 203–223.
• "Asset Pricing with Expectation Shocks", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Volume 65, April 2016, pp. 68–82.
• "Percentile and Percentile-t Bootstrap Confidence Intervals: A Practical Comparison", Journal of Econometric Methods, January 2015, pp. 153–161

Additional Information

View Dr. Elias' web page for more information.